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2007 could easily be referred apt for the Year of the Tums. Our mercurial markets experienced 3 important drops during the year. The 1st,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], by the end of February, reasoned the S&P 500 apt fall 4.7% and the emerging marts over 10%. The after celebrating a great the outset half of the annual,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych],[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], the sub-prime fiasco kick in early July and resulted in the S&P 500 losing 7.7% and the emerging markets 17.7%. The year-end rally came early followed at dissimilar ebb of 7.75% because the S&P 500 and 15.3% for the emerging markets.
The emerging markets (EEM) have done even better. EEM wasn't available for entire of 2003, yet has been up over 25% each of the last 4 years. To put that in greenback terms, a $100,000 investment in EEM when it came out in 2003 would now be worth nigh $600,000.
This is why I arrange to continue focusing on investments outside of the U.S, onward with an accent on energy, commodities and raw materials. I anticipate high-dividend paying stocks (such as regional tel companies) to recover their recent loses. Declining interest rates should pedal income-oriented investors back, creating locked-in yields of 8-10% alternatively more.
If you are serious almost growing your asset,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], you absence to invest a portion of your money outdoor the U.S. markets. The growth in Russia, China, India, and additional eastern nations ambition once repeatedly far surpass the growth of our country, meantime our inflation namely probable to amplify. If you don't earn ample, you ambition really see your purchasing power decline.
Last year (2007) was a tumultuous year for the stock market. Now that the LED ball in Times-Square has dropped and the confetti has been washed up,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], it's time to briefly recap 2007 and, more importantly, look at how your portfolio should be positioned for 2008.
Investing in diplomatic companies, energy and raw materials can increase the volatility of a portfolio. You will have to be the magistrate if you have the abdomen for it. But consider about it this course, what are you are attempting to realize over the next 5 years? The best path to protect your wealth is for it to grow. A drop of 5% or 10% in the short-term pales in approximation to the growth that sh
While there is hazard associated with investing in the markets, we need to be compensated for catching that risk. Over the last 5 years I would have to say we have. The sum we've earned has far out-weighed the value we spent on Tums!
Asian economy growth, combined with even higher orders for ethanol making in the will persist to put oppression on commodities like corn, wheat and soybeans. Demand for stamina will continue to increase far faster than afford. Oil and coal amounts should continue to increase.
The U.S. economic is slowing and the housing market/sub-prime crises may continue into 2009. I mistrust that we will see returns higher than 10% in the S&P 500. It's more likely that the return could be half of that, but it depends on the Federal Reserve. I expect the Fed to continue to mow interest rates because it have to keep our economic from working into a recession, even a mild an.
In the end, the S&P 500 was up 3.5% and the emerging markets (EEM) were up 33%. Investors, even seasoned investors,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], have been baited to throw in the towel and get out of the market. Many have (even creations have increased their money holdings). That's why amuse rates have fallen so dramatically, with the 10-year Treasury now yielding around 4%.
Let's put this in perspective before you obtain too reduced! The last time the S&P 500 had a losing year was in 2003. The average year return on it over the last 5 years has been over 12%. That's well on its long-term average.
Enough about the elapse. How should you invest in 2008? I can't speak to your location specifically, but I will narrate you about the general themes that I see playing out in 2008 and how you can profit from them. I expect it will be another volatile year so you will have to resolve whether the potential reward is worth the risk. I believe it is, if you invest correctly.