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attempttojustifyinductionbylinguistic?atseemsreasonable.Asuccessful aprioridefenseofinferenceformswillhavetodobetterthanjustsmug- gling‘rational’inaspartofastipulativede?nitionofaformofreasoning. Theepistemologistwillhavetoshowthatcertainformsofinferenceare intrinsicallytruth-directedthatitisrationaltoreasoninaccordancewith them.Forinductionthiswillrequireexplicatoryargumentintermsof conceptssuchasreferenceclasssampleandrandomness(see7). Forinferencetothebestexplanationthe aprioristwillneedtoparse outconceptssuchassimplicityandexplanatorypowerandforBayesian TheConnectiontoTruth49 inferenceconceptssuchascomparativelikelihoodandconditionalinde- pendence.Thereismuchimportantworktobedoneindeterminingwhe- therIBEisaprimitiveformofinferenceorcanalwaysbemodeledin Bayesianformandthistoowillrequirecarefulattentiontotheconceptsof explanationandprobabilityandtothewaysinwhichBayesianprobability theorymightservetomodelvarioustheoreticalvirtuespromotedbythe advocateofIBE–the‘‘loveliness’’ofatheory. 41Theemphasisthenison conceptsandtheirconnectionswithwordsplayingaroleonlyinsofaras theyareusedtodesignateconcepts. Inpointoffactthemethodofconceptualanalysisasweconceiveitisless pronetopro louboutin sale sandalsyilai: nike high heels nike heels for women louis vuitton outlet http://www.feel2.fora.pl/nasz-button,24/arguablyits-reductioadabsurdum,38592.html#49386 |
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