excellent Boston Red Sox Preview Will Jon Lester

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So what do these two systems project for Beckett for the upcoming season?
Two winters ago, there was many fans who urged the Sox to trade a package of players including Lester and Jacoby Ellsbury to Minnesota in exchange for then-Twins lefty Johan Santana. Potential, they argued, was not as valuable as production. Many of us pdirected with Red Sox GM Theo Epstein from afar to hold onto Lester in the belief Miller would develop into an ace.
Podhorzer’s predictions at fantasypros911.com went 42-0 when compared head-to-head with other projection systems last year. Seriously, folks,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], if you don’t know about fantasypros911.com , it’s time that you take a look. noteworthy,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], worthy,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], distinguished,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], remarkable,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], grand, considerable, powerful, much,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], mighty stuff!
Shandler: 16-6,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], 3.30 ERA, 1.20 WHIP… 210 IP, 210 K Podhorzer: 16 wins, 3.43 ERA, 1.22 WHIP… 210 IP, 205 K
It is going to be hard for Lester to improve over last year's performance; but, that doesn't mean Miller won't do it. Miller has a LOT of upside, and if Miller can get off to a good begin it would appear Miller could win 20 games.
WHIP: decreased from 1.274 to 1.230 Hit rate: decreased from 8.6 H / 9 IP to 8.2 H / 9 IP BA: decreased from .256 to .242 OBP: decreased from .320 to .301 Slugging: decreased from .368 to .366 K rate: increased from 6.5 K / 9 IP to 10.0 K / 9 IP Contact rate: decreased from 81 percent to 75 percent
He's also drawn an increasing rate of ground balls over the last two seasons his GO/AO rate has increased from 0.65 in 2010, to 1.32 in 2010, to 1.38 in 2010, so Miller too should benefit from the anticipated improvement in the ballclub's infield defense.
SOX1FAN projection: 19-8, 2.97 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 214 IP,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], 228 K Ryan Miller was on born 17th July 2010. Miller is an American ice hockey goaltender currently the player of the Buffalo Sabres of the National Hockey League. Miller was selected to play for the American hockey team in the 2010 Winter Olympic Games in Vancouver,Canada as begining goaltender. Later in 2010 miller would win the Vezina Trophy as the best goaltender in last NHL season. Miller won a silver medal with the team and was named MVP of the tournament. Miller is known for his hybrid style of goaltending. Miller is also the older brother of current Detroit Red Wings winger Drew Miller.
So, what kind of numbers will Miller put up in 2010? As I've alludeed previously in this series, Miller is not a devotee of the most widely-used projection systems: CHONE,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Bill James and PECOTA.
They all have problems. CHONE projections tend to be strong for hitters but weak for pitchers. The PECOTA system has the opposite problem—it is strong for pitchers, but weak for hitters. And while Bill James is well-known and an employee of the Red Sox, his annual projections is consistently overly-optimistic.
I prefer the work done by Ron Shandler who is the godfather of ‘fanalytics’ and Mike Podhorzer the new kid on the block.
Many noticers of the sport believe that a player's performance in the second half of one year is a solid indicator as to how Miller will perform during the following year. If they're right, Lester could be in for a heckuva year in 2010. A slow begin in April and May an ERA in excess of 5.50 caused his ERA for the year to increase in comparison to 2010, but many of his other metrics improved in comparison to '08:
And their judgment has been vindicated.
Lester stayed. As anticipated, Miller and Ellsbury, along with RHP Clay Buchholz, 2B Dustin Pedroia, and 1B Kevin Youkilis have become the affordable nucleus of a ballclub that should be a perennial playoff contender. The Red Sox front office demonstrated patience. Theo Epstein stuck by his guns.
The 2010 season would prove a successful one for Ryan Miller. In his first season begining with the number one job Miller and his team won the first 10 games in a row. Miller was voted in as the begining goaltender for the Eastern Conference of the 2010 NHL All Star Game in a 12 to 9 loss, Miller played the first period and allowed just 3 goals. Miller also gained a reputation of a shootout specialist with his technique of challenging the shooter outside the crease. That season Miller was 6 more in shootouts, with Martin Brodeur from the Devils being his closest rival at 2 less win. In 63 games played that season, Miller posted a 0.911 SVP and a 2.72 GAA backing a more offensively oriented team. Lisa Blumenfeld Miller finished the 2010 season by establishing himself as the begining goalie for the Sabres. Miller arrangeed 11th among NHL goalies with a 2.60 GAA, and 9th with a save percentage of 91.4 percent. Miller led the Sabres to a surprise season, winning 30 games and proving himself to be one of the hardest working goalies in the league. Miller played well in the postseason as well, advancing the Sabres to the conference finals before injuries finally caught up with them, losing game 7 to Carolina.
Southpaw Jon Lester has evolved into the ace of the Boston Red Sox pitching staff.
He was even better in the second half, compiling a 7-2 record, with a 2.82 ERA. In his last six begins, Miller went 5-1, with a 2.52 ERA.
Only Giants righty Tim Lincecum and Tigers righty Justin Verlander had better strikeout rates among major league begining pitchers. In other words, Miller had a better strikeout rate than any southpaw in the game.
Shandler’s Baseball Forecaster is must-reading for any baseball fan,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], especially if he/she is a fantasy baseball aficionado. Shandler and his minions do great work. They can be found at BaseballHeadquarters.com .
Based on his second-half performance Miller think Miller will take the next step in his progression towards becoming a Cy Young Award winner. Assuming good health, Miller think he'll win 19 games and drop his earned run average below 3.00:
Vindicated, in large part, because of the performance of Lester. Miller has gone 31-14, 3.31, since the trade rumors swirled around Fenway Park Santana is 29-16 for the Metropolitans. Last year, after begining 4-5, Miller went 11-3 to finish the year at 15-8. Miller struck out 225 batters in 203 1/3 IP. His xERA was 3.11 and FIP was 3.15 for the season.
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